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    Clinical Trial Results:
    Feasibility study including a double blind (C)controlled study and an open label (C) controlled study for a larger randomised trial measuring the effect of oral vitamin D (I) on morbidity and mortality (O) in men and women aged 65-84 (P)

    Summary
    EudraCT number
    2011-003699-34
    Trial protocol
    GB  
    Global end of trial date
    22 Mar 2017

    Results information
    Results version number
    v1(current)
    This version publication date
    24 Oct 2019
    First version publication date
    24 Oct 2019
    Other versions

    Trial information

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    Trial identification
    Sponsor protocol code
    QA343
    Additional study identifiers
    ISRCTN number
    ISRCTN46328341
    US NCT number
    -
    WHO universal trial number (UTN)
    -
    Sponsors
    Sponsor organisation name
    London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
    Sponsor organisation address
    Keppel Street, London`, United Kingdom, WC1E 7HT
    Public contact
    Christine Rake, London School of Hygine & Tropical Medicine, CHRISTINE.RAKE@LSHTM.AC.UK
    Scientific contact
    Julian Peto, London School of Hygine & Tropical Medicine, JULIAN.PETO@LSHTM.AC.UK
    Paediatric regulatory details
    Is trial part of an agreed paediatric investigation plan (PIP)
    No
    Does article 45 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Does article 46 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Results analysis stage
    Analysis stage
    Final
    Date of interim/final analysis
    03 Jul 2018
    Is this the analysis of the primary completion data?
    Yes
    Primary completion date
    22 Mar 2017
    Global end of trial reached?
    Yes
    Global end of trial date
    22 Mar 2017
    Was the trial ended prematurely?
    No
    General information about the trial
    Main objective of the trial
    The primary aim of the feasibility study was to establish the procedures required to conduct the main trial and to determine the time taken to recruit and randomise 1,600 participants aged 65-84. The aims of the cluster randomisation of practices were to: i) compare response (number randomised/number invited) and attrition (attendance at 2-year final visit) in blinded and open practices, ii) compare allocated treatment compliance in participants on open label vitamin D and blinded participants, and iii) compare contamination rates (the proportion taking > 400IU/day of vitamin D), particularly between open untreated controls and blinded participants.
    Protection of trial subjects
    This study was conducted in accordance with International Conference on Harmonisation (ICH) Good Clinical Practice (GCP) regulations/guidelines. All subjects provided written informed consent before undergoing any study-related procedures. The study was reviewed and approved by a Research Ethics Committee (REC) and the Medicines & Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA). The principle discomfort of the study arose from giving blood samples; we sought to minimize this by employing GP research nurses who were competent phlebotomists. The principle risk (estimated at less than a 1 in 400 chance) arose from vitamin D−induced hypercalcaemia; we sought to minimize this by excluding those with elevated blood calcium level before randomisation; by excluding patients known to be at potentially increased risk of developing hypercalcaemia after vitamin D supplementation (e.g. those with hyperparathyroidism, sarcoidosis or baseline hypercalcaemia); by giving a dose of vitamin D that was sufficient to correct deficiency, but not sufficient to induce hypervitaminosis D; and by monitoring for hypercalcaemia post−randomisation, with unblinded review by data monitoring committee of accumulating data relating to adverse reactions. The proposed regimen of 100,000 IU vitamin D3 monthly (equivalent to 3300 IU per day) represented a dose that was at extremely low risk of inducing adverse effects, but which was sufficient to promote a clinical benefit.
    Background therapy
    N/A
    Evidence for comparator
    There is strong but not conclusive evidence that serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) should be at least 75 nmol/L for optimal health. Neither the vitamin D reference nutrient intake (RNI) (400IU/day) nor increased consumption of foods containing vitamin D will raise the majority of the UK population aged over 65 years above this level. Plausible effects of vitamin D deficiency include premature death and increased risks of pneumonia, cardiovascular disease, some cancers, dementia, falls and fractures. We therefore proposed the VIDAL (Vitamin D And Longevity) trial, a large randomised trial of high-dose monthly vitamin D3 for 5 years with all-cause mortality as the primary endpoint (20,000 participants aged 65-84 at entry). The VIDAL feasibility study was conducted to assess the feasibility of that larger main trial. As well as demonstrating an expected increase in circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels, the feasibility study sought to establish the study design and procedures required for the main trial. An important feature of the feasibility study was the comparison of a placebo control group with an open control group with no treatment. Randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trials are considered the gold standard, particularly where the endpoint is subjective, but an open control design may be acceptable where the main endpoint is overall mortality. The primary purpose of the feasibility study was to ascertain recruitment levels, but the study also included a cluster randomized comparison of the effects of placebo versus open control trial design on the reliability of self-reported infections and other adverse effects as well as on recruitment, participant acceptability and treatment compliance. The feasibility study therefore provides evidence on an important methodological issue in the design of pragmatic trials in preventive medicine.
    Actual start date of recruitment
    27 Mar 2013
    Long term follow-up planned
    No
    Independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) involvement?
    Yes
    Population of trial subjects
    Number of subjects enrolled per country
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    United Kingdom: 11376
    Worldwide total number of subjects
    11376
    EEA total number of subjects
    11376
    Number of subjects enrolled per age group
    In utero
    0
    Preterm newborn - gestational age < 37 wk
    0
    Newborns (0-27 days)
    0
    Infants and toddlers (28 days-23 months)
    0
    Children (2-11 years)
    0
    Adolescents (12-17 years)
    0
    Adults (18-64 years)
    0
    From 65 to 84 years
    11376
    85 years and over
    0

    Subject disposition

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    Recruitment
    Recruitment details
    Baseline enrolment visits were conducted between 17/04/2013 and 11/12/2014 in 20 GP practices across England. The first patient was randomised on 09/05/2013, and the last patient was randomised on 15/01/2015.

    Pre-assignment
    Screening details
    The 20 GP practices were cluster randomised to open or double-blind individual randomisation within pairs matched approximately on size, whether urban or rural, ethnic mix and ward multiple deprivation index based on practice postcode. Within each practice, patients were individually randomised to vitamin D or control (no treatment or placebo).

    Pre-assignment period milestones
    Number of subjects started
    11376
    Number of subjects completed
    1615

    Pre-assignment subject non-completion reasons
    Reason: Number of subjects
    Not randomised to the trial: 9761
    Period 1
    Period 1 title
    Overall trial (overall period)
    Is this the baseline period?
    Yes
    Allocation method
    Randomised - controlled
    Blinding used
    Not blinded

    Arms
    Are arms mutually exclusive
    Yes

    Arm title
    Vitamin D (Blinded)
    Arm description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The vitamin D (blinded) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.
    Arm type
    Experimental

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Vigantol® Oil
    Investigational medicinal product code
    A1 1 CC05 (cholecalciferol)
    Other name
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Oral liquid
    Routes of administration
    Oral use
    Dosage and administration details
    Administered orally: 24 x 5 ml (= 24 x 2.5 mg) over two years.

    Arm title
    Placebo
    Arm description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The placebo arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Miglyol® 812 oil.
    Arm type
    Placebo

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Miglyol® 812 Oil
    Investigational medicinal product code
    N/A
    Other name
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Oral liquid
    Routes of administration
    Oral use
    Dosage and administration details
    Administered orally: 24 x 5 ml over two years

    Arm title
    Vitamin D (Open)
    Arm description
    Study participants enrolled at the open GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil”. The vitamin D (open) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.
    Arm type
    Experimental

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Vigantol® Oil
    Investigational medicinal product code
    A1 1 CC05 (cholecalciferol)
    Other name
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Oral liquid
    Routes of administration
    Oral use
    Dosage and administration details
    Administered orally: 24 x 5 ml (= 24 x 2.5 mg) over two years.

    Arm title
    Open Control
    Arm description
    Participants allocated to open control at randomisation are not sent any study oils, nor contacted during the follow-up period, but are invited back to the GP practice for a final study visit at 2-years.
    Arm type
    No intervention

    Investigational medicinal product name
    No investigational medicinal product assigned in this arm
    Number of subjects in period 1 [1]
    Vitamin D (Blinded) Placebo Vitamin D (Open) Open Control
    Started
    395
    392
    407
    421
    Completed
    355
    366
    372
    366
    Not completed
    40
    26
    35
    55
         Adverse event, serious fatal
    5
    3
    8
    4
         Other reason
    35
    23
    27
    51
    Notes
    [1] - The number of subjects reported to be in the baseline period are not the same as the worldwide number enrolled in the trial. It is expected that these numbers will be the same.
    Justification: The worldwide number of participants was the number of subjects invited to take part in the study, which was required for calculation of the first primary endpoint, "participation rates in blind versus open GP practices". The number of subjects reported to be in the baseline period equates to the number of participants actually randomised to the study, which is required for all other endpoints.

    Baseline characteristics

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    Baseline characteristics reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Overall trial
    Reporting group description
    -

    Reporting group values
    Overall trial Total
    Number of subjects
    1615 1615
    Age categorical
    Units: Subjects
        65-69
    624 624
        70-74
    510 510
        75-79
    325 325
        80-84
    156 156
    Gender categorical
    Units: Subjects
        Female
    758 758
        Male
    857 857
    Ethnicity
    Units: Subjects
        White British
    1563 1563
        White Irish
    11 11
        White Other
    26 26
        Caribbean
    6 6
        Asian
    6 6
        Mixed
    3 3

    End points

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    End points reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Vitamin D (Blinded)
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The vitamin D (blinded) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.

    Reporting group title
    Placebo
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The placebo arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Miglyol® 812 oil.

    Reporting group title
    Vitamin D (Open)
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the open GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil”. The vitamin D (open) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.

    Reporting group title
    Open Control
    Reporting group description
    Participants allocated to open control at randomisation are not sent any study oils, nor contacted during the follow-up period, but are invited back to the GP practice for a final study visit at 2-years.

    Subject analysis set title
    Subjects invited from "open" GP practices
    Subject analysis set type
    Sub-group analysis
    Subject analysis set description
    All subjects from "open" GP practices who were invited to take part in the trial.

    Subject analysis set title
    Subjects invited from "blind" GP practices
    Subject analysis set type
    Sub-group analysis
    Subject analysis set description
    All subjects from "open" GP practices who were invited to take part in the trial.

    Subject analysis set title
    Subjects randomised to all "blind" GP practices
    Subject analysis set type
    Intention-to-treat
    Subject analysis set description
    All subjects that were randomised from "blind" GP practices

    Subject analysis set title
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D
    Subject analysis set type
    Intention-to-treat
    Subject analysis set description
    All randomised participants allocated to receive vitamin D treatment (including both blind and open treatment groups).

    Subject analysis set title
    All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Subject analysis set type
    Intention-to-treat
    Subject analysis set description
    All randomised participants allocated to control groups (including both open and blind control groups).

    Subject analysis set title
    Randomised participants taking vitamin D supplements
    Subject analysis set type
    Intention-to-treat
    Subject analysis set description
    The number of randomised participants taking vitamin D supplements at baseline

    Subject analysis set title
    Randomised participants taking no vitamin D supplementation
    Subject analysis set type
    Intention-to-treat
    Subject analysis set description
    The number of randomised participants taking no vitamin D supplementation at baseline

    Primary: Participation rates in blind versus open GP practices

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    End point title
    Participation rates in blind versus open GP practices
    End point description
    Proportion of invited participants who were randomised in each GP practice
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    Baseline
    End point values
    Subjects invited from "open" GP practices Subjects invited from "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects analysed
    828 [1]
    787 [2]
    Units: percent
        arithmetic mean (full range (min-max))
    15.0 (8.8 to 22.4)
    13.4 (8.8 to 26.4)
    Notes
    [1] - 828 participants were randomised out of 5508 subjects invited across all "open" GP practices.
    [2] - 787 participants were randomised out of 5868 subjects invited across all "blind" GP practices.
    Statistical analysis title
    Wilcoxon signed rank test
    Statistical analysis description
    Wilcoxon signed rank test
    Comparison groups
    Subjects invited from "open" GP practices v Subjects invited from "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1615
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.7
    Method
    Wilcoxon signed rank test
    Confidence interval

    Primary: Number of randomised participants returning for the 2 year visit by treatment group

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    End point title
    Number of randomised participants returning for the 2 year visit by treatment group [3]
    End point description
    Proportion of randomised participants returning for the 2-year visit in open control versus open treatment GP practices.
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    Attendance at the final 2-year visit.
    Notes
    [3] - The end point is not reporting statistics for all the arms in the baseline period. It is expected all the baseline period arms will be reported on when providing values for an end point on the baseline period.
    Justification: This is a comparison of the treated versus untreated participants in the "open" GP practices. Those randomised in the "blinded" GP practices are excluded; therefore the endpoint should not report statistics for all of the arms in the baseline period.
    End point values
    Vitamin D (Open) Open Control
    Number of subjects analysed
    399
    417
    Units: percentage
        number (not applicable)
    93.2
    87.8
    Statistical analysis title
    Chi-squared test
    Statistical analysis description
    Chi-squared test
    Comparison groups
    Vitamin D (Open) v Open Control
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    816
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.008
    Method
    Chi-squared
    Confidence interval

    Primary: Compliance of participants allocated to study medication

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    End point title
    Compliance of participants allocated to study medication [4]
    End point description
    Compliance of participants allocated to study medication: number of doses taken by study arm. Those randomised to receive no treatment in open GP practices are excluded.
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    Compliance of participants allocated to study medication over the 2 year trial period.
    Notes
    [4] - The end point is not reporting statistics for all the arms in the baseline period. It is expected all the baseline period arms will be reported on when providing values for an end point on the baseline period.
    Justification: This is a comparison of open vitamin D versus all "blinded" GP practices. Those randomised to receive no treatment in the "open" GP practices are excluded; therefore the endpoint should not report statistics for all of the arms in the baseline period.
    End point values
    Vitamin D (Open) Subjects randomised to all "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects analysed
    407
    787
    Units: percentage
    number (not applicable)
        0-5 doses
    4.4
    3.6
        6-11 doses
    2.2
    3.9
        12-17 doses
    2.0
    2.7
        18-24 doses
    91.4
    89.8
    Statistical analysis title
    Chi-squared test
    Statistical analysis description
    Chi-squared test
    Comparison groups
    Vitamin D (Open) v Subjects randomised to all "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1194
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.3
    Method
    Chi-squared
    Confidence interval

    Primary: Contamination rates among open untreated controls versus blinded participants

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    End point title
    Contamination rates among open untreated controls versus blinded participants [5]
    End point description
    Contamination (proportion of participants taking >400IU/day of vitamin D): additional self-administered or GP prescribed daily vitamin D from all supplements being taken at the 2-year visit. Combined data from self-report and GP records.
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    Final 2-year visit
    Notes
    [5] - The end point is not reporting statistics for all the arms in the baseline period. It is expected all the baseline period arms will be reported on when providing values for an end point on the baseline period.
    Justification: This is a comparison of open untreated controls versus all "blinded" GP practices. Those randomised to receive vitamin D in the "open" GP practices are excluded; therefore the endpoint should not report statistics for all of the arms in the baseline period.
    End point values
    Open Control Subjects randomised to all "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects analysed
    400
    740
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    5.0
    3.6
    Statistical analysis title
    Chi-squared test
    Statistical analysis description
    Chi-squared test
    Comparison groups
    Open Control v Subjects randomised to all "blind" GP practices
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1140
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.27
    Method
    Chi-squared
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Serious Adverse Event (SAE) reporting in blind placebo versus blind treated groups

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    End point title
    Serious Adverse Event (SAE) reporting in blind placebo versus blind treated groups [6]
    End point description
    Report of one or more Serious Adverse Events during the two year trial period, in blind placebo versus blind vitamin D groups.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year trial period
    Notes
    [6] - The end point is not reporting statistics for all the arms in the baseline period. It is expected all the baseline period arms will be reported on when providing values for an end point on the baseline period.
    Justification: This is a comparison of the placebo versus treatment groups within the "blinded" GP practices. Those randomised in the "open" GP practices are excluded; therefore the endpoint should not report statistics for all of the arms in the baseline period.
    End point values
    Vitamin D (Blinded) Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    395
    392
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    11.7
    11.5
    Statistical analysis title
    Chi-squared test
    Statistical analysis description
    Chi-squared test
    Comparison groups
    Vitamin D (Blinded) v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    787
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.9
    Method
    Chi-squared
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Baseline blood 25(OH)D level in treated versus control groups

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    End point title
    Baseline blood 25(OH)D level in treated versus control groups
    End point description
    Baseline blood 25(OH)D level in participants allocated to vitamin D versus control groups.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Baseline
    End point values
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects analysed
    798
    810
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    51.2
    51.7
    Statistical analysis title
    Two-sided t-test
    Statistical analysis description
    Two-sided t-test
    Comparison groups
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D v All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1608
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.7
    Method
    t-test, 2-sided
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Treatment effects: two-year 25(OH)D level in treated versus control groups

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    End point title
    Treatment effects: two-year 25(OH)D level in treated versus control groups
    End point description
    Two-year blood 25(OH)D level in participants allocated to vitamin D versus control groups.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year final visit
    End point values
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects analysed
    722
    726
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    109.6
    51.8
    Statistical analysis title
    Two-sided t-test
    Statistical analysis description
    Two-sided t-test
    Comparison groups
    All randomised participants allocated to control group v All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1448
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    < 0.0001
    Method
    t-test, 2-sided
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Vitamin D supplementation and blood 25(OH)D level

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    End point title
    Vitamin D supplementation and blood 25(OH)D level
    End point description
    Effect of vitamin D supplementation on average blood 25(OH)D level among all participants at baseline
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Baseline
    End point values
    Randomised participants taking vitamin D supplements Randomised participants taking no vitamin D supplementation
    Number of subjects analysed
    390
    1218
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    65.5
    47.0
    Statistical analysis title
    Linear regression
    Statistical analysis description
    Linear regression
    Comparison groups
    Randomised participants taking vitamin D supplements v Randomised participants taking no vitamin D supplementation
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1608
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    < 0.0001
    Method
    Regression, Linear
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Number of infections in 2-year trial period in treated versus control groups

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    End point title
    Number of infections in 2-year trial period in treated versus control groups
    End point description
    Number of infections during the 2-year trial period as reported from GP notes for all study participants, comparing controls (untreated or placebo) against vitamin D (open or blind). All infections included (upper and lower respiratory infections, urinary tract infections, skin/mucosal or soft tissue infections and other infections).
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year trial period
    End point values
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects analysed
    798
    810
    Units: percent
    number (not applicable)
        0 infections
    73.2
    72.0
        1 infection
    17.7
    17.8
        2 infections
    6.1
    5.9
        3 infections
    1.7
    2.2
        4+ infections
    1.2
    2.1
    No statistical analyses for this end point

    Secondary: Number of GP appointments in 2-year trial period by treatment group

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    End point title
    Number of GP appointments in 2-year trial period by treatment group
    End point description
    Number of GP appointments during the 2-year trial period as reported from GP notes for all study participants by treatment group.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year trial period
    End point values
    Vitamin D (Blinded) Placebo Vitamin D (Open) Open Control
    Number of subjects analysed
    383
    384
    386
    401
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    12.2
    12.9
    12.6
    12.9
    No statistical analyses for this end point

    Secondary: Change in systolic blood pressure across 2-year trial period in treated and control groups

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    End point title
    Change in systolic blood pressure across 2-year trial period in treated and control groups
    End point description
    Change in systolic blood pressure from recruitment to 2 years between vitamin D (open label and blind) and control (untreated and placebo) groups.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year trial period
    End point values
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects analysed
    726
    732
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    1.21
    0.14
    Statistical analysis title
    Linear regression
    Statistical analysis description
    Linear regression
    Comparison groups
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D v All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1458
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.2
    Method
    Regression, Linear
    Confidence interval

    Secondary: Change in diastolic blood pressure across 2-year trial period in treated and control groups

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    End point title
    Change in diastolic blood pressure across 2-year trial period in treated and control groups
    End point description
    Change in diastolic blood pressure from recruitment to 2 years between vitamin D (open label and blind) and control (untreated and placebo) groups
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    Two year trial period
    End point values
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects analysed
    726
    732
    Units: percent
        number (not applicable)
    0.63
    -0.55
    Statistical analysis title
    Linear regression
    Statistical analysis description
    Linear regression
    Comparison groups
    All randomised participants allocated to vitamin D v All randomised participants allocated to control group
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    1458
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    equivalence
    P-value
    = 0.03
    Method
    Regression, Linear
    Confidence interval

    Adverse events

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    Adverse events information
    Timeframe for reporting adverse events
    From the first dose of study medication to the end of study.
    Adverse event reporting additional description
    Serious adverse events and adverse reactions were detected either through routine clinical contact with the participant at the GP practice, participant response to quarterly follow-up communications or final visit questions, or linkage with NHS digital to hospital admissions, cancer diagnoses and mortality data.
    Assessment type
    Non-systematic
    Dictionary used for adverse event reporting
    Dictionary name
    MedDRA
    Dictionary version
    16.0
    Reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Vitamin D (Blinded)
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The vitamin D (blinded) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.

    Reporting group title
    Placebo
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the blinded GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil / placebo oil”. The placebo arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Miglyol® 812 oil.

    Reporting group title
    Vitamin D (Open)
    Reporting group description
    Study participants enrolled at the open GP practices received annual study medication packs each containing 12 monthly doses of study oil labelled as “vitamin D3 oil”. The vitamin D (open) arm contained 12 bottles each containing 5.2 ml Vigantol® Oil (oily solution of vitamin D3, concentration 0.5 mg/ml). Bottles of study oil contained 5.2 ml to ensure delivery of 5 ml (2.5 mg of vitamin D3) because ~0.2 ml of the oily solution adheres and remains in the bottle.

    Reporting group title
    Open Control
    Reporting group description
    Participants allocated to open control at randomisation are not sent any study oils, nor contacted during the follow-up period, but are invited back to the GP practice for a final study visit at 2-years.

    Serious adverse events
    Vitamin D (Blinded) Placebo Vitamin D (Open) Open Control
    Total subjects affected by serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    46 / 395 (11.65%)
    45 / 392 (11.48%)
    48 / 407 (11.79%)
    13 / 421 (3.09%)
         number of deaths (all causes)
    5
    3
    8
    4
         number of deaths resulting from adverse events
    0
    0
    0
    0
    General disorders and administration site conditions
    All SAEs
    Additional description: All SAEs
         subjects affected / exposed
    46 / 395 (11.65%)
    45 / 392 (11.48%)
    48 / 407 (11.79%)
    13 / 421 (3.09%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 59
    0 / 56
    0 / 56
    0 / 13
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 5
    0 / 3
    0 / 8
    0 / 4
    Frequency threshold for reporting non-serious adverse events: 5%
    Non-serious adverse events
    Vitamin D (Blinded) Placebo Vitamin D (Open) Open Control
    Total subjects affected by non serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    5 / 395 (1.27%)
    4 / 392 (1.02%)
    12 / 407 (2.95%)
    0 / 421 (0.00%)
    General disorders and administration site conditions
    All ARs
    Additional description: All ARs
         subjects affected / exposed
    5 / 395 (1.27%)
    4 / 392 (1.02%)
    12 / 407 (2.95%)
    0 / 421 (0.00%)
         occurrences all number
    5
    4
    12
    0

    More information

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    Substantial protocol amendments (globally)

    Were there any global substantial amendments to the protocol? Yes
    Date
    Amendment
    09 Oct 2012
    Include a reminder on the 3-monthly follow-up for participants to contact their GP if they are experiencing symptoms of hypercalcaemia. Allow CCI to send signed prescriptions directly to pharmacy and GP nurses to send ICF to TCC by any medium.
    24 Oct 2012
    Administrative changes: Amending protocol and supporting document terminology for consistency; paper administration of the baseline visit; modification of the lifestyle questions, invitation letter and quarterly follow-up; amendment of previous errors on the PIS and 2-year appointment letter; asking GP practices (instead of TCC) to check study oil dates on the used medication packs brought in to the final practice visit; modifying the remit of the DMC; modifying the format of the unique VIDAL ID; and modifying the verification procedure for the calcium blood test result. Request by TCC of an anonymised version of the quarterly pre-consent spreadsheet, for the purpose of monitoring response rates and reasons for non-participation by 5-year age-group and sex. Other changes: Inclusion of blood pressure as an additional outcome. Increasing the volume of blood taken for the calcium blood test (from 3ml to 3.5ml) for logistical reasons. Initial recording of SAEs by the practice nurse as well as PI (subject to review and confirmation by the PI).
    30 May 2013
    Removal of existing sites/PIs and addition of new sites/PIs.
    10 Sep 2013
    Text on IMP bottle and carton labels altered to confirm study oil should be taken orally once a month; Insert added with instructions in IMP delivery pack; Certificate of Analysis for extended shelf life of vigantol oil.
    20 Sep 2013
    Change of PI at four participating sites.
    27 Sep 2013
    Change of PI at one participating site.
    04 Feb 2014
    Removal of existing sites/PIs and addition of new sites/PIs.
    08 May 2014
    Removal of existing site/PI and addition of new site/PI.
    01 Jul 2014
    Minor edits to the statistical section of the protocol and addition of a contamination communication.

    Interruptions (globally)

    Were there any global interruptions to the trial? No

    Limitations and caveats

    Limitations of the trial such as small numbers of subjects analysed or technical problems leading to unreliable data.
    None reported
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