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    Clinical Trial Results:
    First trimester progesterone therapy in women with a history of unexplained recurrent miscarriages: A randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multi-centre trial [The PROMISE (PROgesterone in recurrent MIScarriagE) Trial] Funded by NIHR-HTA(UK) 08/38/01 for £1.2million

    Summary
    EudraCT number
    2009-011208-42
    Trial protocol
    NL   GB  
    Global end of trial date
    01 Sep 2014

    Results information
    Results version number
    v1(current)
    This version publication date
    25 Mar 2020
    First version publication date
    25 Mar 2020
    Other versions

    Trial information

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    Trial identification
    Sponsor protocol code
    HTA083801
    Additional study identifiers
    ISRCTN number
    ISRCTN92644181
    US NCT number
    -
    WHO universal trial number (UTN)
    -
    Sponsors
    Sponsor organisation name
    Imperial College London
    Sponsor organisation address
    South Kensington Campus, London, United Kingdom, SW7 2AZ
    Public contact
    Dr Rajendra Rai, Imperial College London, r.rai@imperial.ac.uk
    Scientific contact
    Dr Rajendra Rai, Imperial College London, r.rai@imperial.ac.uk
    Paediatric regulatory details
    Is trial part of an agreed paediatric investigation plan (PIP)
    No
    Does article 45 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Does article 46 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Results analysis stage
    Analysis stage
    Final
    Date of interim/final analysis
    01 Sep 2015
    Is this the analysis of the primary completion data?
    Yes
    Primary completion date
    01 Sep 2014
    Global end of trial reached?
    Yes
    Global end of trial date
    01 Sep 2014
    Was the trial ended prematurely?
    No
    General information about the trial
    Main objective of the trial
    PRINCIPAL OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that in women with unexplained recurrent miscarriages, progesterone (2 x 200mg pessaries, twice daily), started as soon as possible after a positive pregnancy test (and no later than 6 weeks gestation) and continued to 12 weeks of gestation, compared to placebo, increases live births beyond 24 completed weeks of pregnancy by at least 10%.
    Protection of trial subjects
    None
    Background therapy
    -
    Evidence for comparator
    -
    Actual start date of recruitment
    01 May 2009
    Long term follow-up planned
    No
    Independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) involvement?
    Yes
    Population of trial subjects
    Number of subjects enrolled per country
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Netherlands: 170
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    United Kingdom: 666
    Worldwide total number of subjects
    836
    EEA total number of subjects
    836
    Number of subjects enrolled per age group
    In utero
    0
    Preterm newborn - gestational age < 37 wk
    0
    Newborns (0-27 days)
    0
    Infants and toddlers (28 days-23 months)
    0
    Children (2-11 years)
    0
    Adolescents (12-17 years)
    0
    Adults (18-64 years)
    836
    From 65 to 84 years
    0
    85 years and over
    0

    Subject disposition

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    Recruitment
    Recruitment details
    A total of 836 participants were randomized, exceeding the planned target of 790 participants, from 45 active centers (36 in the UK and nine in the Netherlands) over 41 months.

    Pre-assignment
    Screening details
    A total of 1568 participants were screened for eligibility and consented to take part in the PROMISE trial. Of these, 732 participants were excluded from randomization, the most common reasons being that they did not conceive naturally within 1 year or due to withdraw from the study.

    Period 1
    Period 1 title
    Overall (overall period)
    Is this the baseline period?
    Yes
    Allocation method
    Randomised - controlled
    Blinding used
    Double blind
    Roles blinded
    Subject, Investigator

    Arms
    Are arms mutually exclusive
    Yes

    Arm title
    Progresteron
    Arm description
    Participants received progesterone at a dose of 400 mg (that is, two capsules of Utrogestan® 200 mg) taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment.
    Arm type
    Experimental

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Progesterone
    Investigational medicinal product code
    Other name
    UTROGESTAN
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Capsule
    Routes of administration
    Vaginal use
    Dosage and administration details
    Micronised progesterone at a dose of 400 mg (that is, two capsules of Utrogestan® 200 mg) taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment.

    Arm title
    Placebo
    Arm description
    Participants received placebo treatment
    Arm type
    Placebo

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Placebo
    Investigational medicinal product code
    Other name
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Capsule
    Routes of administration
    Vaginal use
    Dosage and administration details
    Two capsules of placebo capsules were taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment. Placebo capsules were composed of sunflower oil, soybean lecithin, gelatin, glycerol, titanium dioxide and purified water, encapsulated in the same form as the progesterone capsules, and identical in color, shape, and weight.

    Number of subjects in period 1
    Progresteron Placebo
    Started
    404
    432
    Completed
    387
    423
    Not completed
    17
    9
         Consent withdrawn by subject
    4
    1
         pregnancy end before treatment
    10
    7
         progresteron before the treatment
    3
    1

    Baseline characteristics

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    Baseline characteristics reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Progresteron
    Reporting group description
    Participants received progesterone at a dose of 400 mg (that is, two capsules of Utrogestan® 200 mg) taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment.

    Reporting group title
    Placebo
    Reporting group description
    Participants received placebo treatment

    Reporting group values
    Progresteron Placebo Total
    Number of subjects
    404 432 836
    Age categorical
    Units: Subjects
        Women (18-35 years)
    261 294 555
        Women (35-39 years)
    143 138 281
    Age continuous
    Units: years
        median (inter-quartile range (Q1-Q3))
    32.9 (29.3 to 36.3) 32.5 (28.9 to 35.9) -
    Gender categorical
    Units: Subjects
        Female
    404 432 836
        Male
    0 0 0
    Maternal BMI
    Units: kg/m^2
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    25.5 ( 5.1 ) 25.3 ( 5.1 ) -

    End points

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    End points reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Progresteron
    Reporting group description
    Participants received progesterone at a dose of 400 mg (that is, two capsules of Utrogestan® 200 mg) taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment.

    Reporting group title
    Placebo
    Reporting group description
    Participants received placebo treatment

    Primary: Number of the live birth after at least 24 weeks of gestation compared to the total birth

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    End point title
    Number of the live birth after at least 24 weeks of gestation compared to the total birth
    End point description
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    12 months
    End point values
    Progresteron Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    398
    428
    Units: Percent
    262
    271
    Statistical analysis title
    Live birth after at least 24 weeks of gestation
    Statistical analysis description
    Analyses based on the intention-to-treat principle.
    Comparison groups
    Progresteron v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    826
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    superiority
    P-value
    = 0.45
    Method
    RR
    Parameter type
    Risk ratio (RR)
    Point estimate
    1.04
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    0.94
         upper limit
    1.15

    Secondary: Clinical pregnancy at 6–8 weeks

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    End point title
    Clinical pregnancy at 6–8 weeks
    End point description
    The presence of a gestational sac) at 6–8 weeks.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    12 months
    End point values
    Progresteron Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    398
    428
    Units: Number of clinical pregnancy
    326
    334
    Statistical analysis title
    Clinical pregnancy at 6–8 weeks
    Comparison groups
    Progresteron v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    826
    Analysis specification
    Post-hoc
    Analysis type
    superiority
    P-value
    = 0.16
    Method
    RR
    Parameter type
    Risk ratio (RR)
    Point estimate
    1.05
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    0.98
         upper limit
    1.12

    Secondary: Ongoing pregnancy at 12 weeks

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    End point title
    Ongoing pregnancy at 12 weeks
    End point description
    The presence of a fetal heartbeat at 12 weeks.
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    12 months
    End point values
    Progresteron Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    398
    428
    Units: Number of ongoing pregnancy
    267
    277
    Statistical analysis title
    Ongoing pregnancy at 12 weeks
    Comparison groups
    Progresteron v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    826
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    superiority
    P-value
    = 0.47
    Method
    RR
    Parameter type
    Risk ratio (RR)
    Point estimate
    1.04
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    0.94
         upper limit
    1.14

    Secondary: Number of Miscarriage

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    End point title
    Number of Miscarriage
    End point description
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    12 months
    End point values
    Progresteron Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    398
    428
    Units: Number of Miscarriage
    128
    143
    Statistical analysis title
    Miscarriage
    Comparison groups
    Progresteron v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    826
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    superiority
    P-value
    = 0.7
    Method
    RR
    Parameter type
    Risk ratio (RR)
    Point estimate
    0.96
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    0.79
         upper limit
    1.17

    Secondary: Number of Neonatal survival to 28 days

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    End point title
    Number of Neonatal survival to 28 days
    End point description
    End point type
    Secondary
    End point timeframe
    12 months
    End point values
    Progresteron Placebo
    Number of subjects analysed
    261
    269
    Units: Number of Neonatal survival
    260
    269
    Statistical analysis title
    Neonatal survival to 28 days
    Comparison groups
    Progresteron v Placebo
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    530
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    superiority
    P-value
    = 0.32
    Method
    RR
    Parameter type
    Risk ratio (RR)
    Point estimate
    1
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    0.99
         upper limit
    1

    Adverse events

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    Adverse events information
    Timeframe for reporting adverse events
    12 months
    Assessment type
    Systematic
    Dictionary used for adverse event reporting
    Dictionary name
    MedDRA
    Dictionary version
    10
    Reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Progresteron
    Reporting group description
    Participants received progesterone at a dose of 400 mg (that is, two capsules of Utrogestan® 200 mg) taken vaginally twice daily (every morning and every evening) for the duration of treatment.

    Reporting group title
    Placebo
    Reporting group description
    Participants received placebo treatment

    Serious adverse events
    Progresteron Placebo
    Total subjects affected by serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 404 (0.25%)
    0 / 432 (0.00%)
         number of deaths (all causes)
    0
    0
         number of deaths resulting from adverse events
    0
    0
    Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders
    Rash
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 404 (0.25%)
    0 / 432 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    1 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Frequency threshold for reporting non-serious adverse events: 0%
    Non-serious adverse events
    Progresteron Placebo
    Total subjects affected by non serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    40 / 404 (9.90%)
    30 / 432 (6.94%)
    Nervous system disorders
    Neurological
         subjects affected / exposed
    7 / 404 (1.73%)
    4 / 432 (0.93%)
         occurrences all number
    7
    4
    Blood and lymphatic system disorders
    Haematological
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 404 (0.00%)
    1 / 432 (0.23%)
         occurrences all number
    0
    1
    Immune system disorders
    Allergy
         subjects affected / exposed
    2 / 404 (0.50%)
    0 / 432 (0.00%)
         occurrences all number
    2
    0
    Gastrointestinal disorders
    Gastrointestinal
         subjects affected / exposed
    20 / 404 (4.95%)
    14 / 432 (3.24%)
         occurrences all number
    20
    14
    Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders
    Miscellaneous
         subjects affected / exposed
    8 / 404 (1.98%)
    4 / 432 (0.93%)
         occurrences all number
    8
    4
    Renal and urinary disorders
    Urological
         subjects affected / exposed
    3 / 404 (0.74%)
    4 / 432 (0.93%)
         occurrences all number
    3
    4

    More information

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    Substantial protocol amendments (globally)

    Were there any global substantial amendments to the protocol? Yes
    Date
    Amendment
    02 Dec 2010
    Adding new recruitment sites
    10 Jan 2011
    Adding new recruitment sites
    23 Mar 2011
    Change wording
    06 Apr 2011
    Adding new recruitment sites
    20 Apr 2011
    Adding new recruitment sites
    20 Apr 2011
    Wishaw General Hospital is going to be a PIC Patient Identification Centre only. Staffing issues make it difficult to function as a full research site.
    03 May 2011
    Pregnancy and delivery of trial drug - new wording. Some research centers have participants who live far away from the clinic, so returning solely to collect the study treatment is difficult for these individuals and may prevent them from taking part in the trial. The option of delivery directly from the trial pharmacy to their home address would make it possible for them to take part.
    17 Jun 2011
    Adding new recruitment sites
    11 Aug 2011
    Adding new recruitment sites
    04 Feb 2013
    Adding new recruitment sites

    Interruptions (globally)

    Were there any global interruptions to the trial? No

    Limitations and caveats

    Limitations of the trial such as small numbers of subjects analysed or technical problems leading to unreliable data.
    None reported

    Online references

    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27225013
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