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    Clinical Trial Results:
    Antivirals for influenza Like Illness? An rCt of Clinical and Cost effectiveness in primary CarE

    Summary
    EudraCT number
    2014-004471-23
    Trial protocol
    HU   BE   IE   GB   SE   CZ   LT   DK   NL   PL  
    Global end of trial date
    09 May 2018

    Results information
    Results version number
    v1(current)
    This version publication date
    26 Jul 2019
    First version publication date
    26 Jul 2019
    Other versions

    Trial information

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    Trial identification
    Sponsor protocol code
    CB/ALICE/0010
    Additional study identifiers
    ISRCTN number
    ISRCTN27908921
    US NCT number
    -
    WHO universal trial number (UTN)
    -
    Sponsors
    Sponsor organisation name
    University of Oxford
    Sponsor organisation address
    Block 60 Churchill Hospital, Oxford, United Kingdom, OX3 7LE
    Public contact
    Prof Chris Butler, University of Oxford, 0044 1865 289363, christopher.butler@phc.ox.ac.uk
    Scientific contact
    Prof Chris Butler, University of Oxford, 0044 1865 289363, christopher.butler@phc.ox.ac.uk
    Paediatric regulatory details
    Is trial part of an agreed paediatric investigation plan (PIP)
    No
    Does article 45 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Does article 46 of REGULATION (EC) No 1901/2006 apply to this trial?
    No
    Results analysis stage
    Analysis stage
    Final
    Date of interim/final analysis
    24 Sep 2018
    Is this the analysis of the primary completion data?
    Yes
    Primary completion date
    09 May 2018
    Global end of trial reached?
    Yes
    Global end of trial date
    09 May 2018
    Was the trial ended prematurely?
    No
    General information about the trial
    Main objective of the trial
    To determine whether adding antiviral treatment to best usual primary care is effective in reducing time to return to usual daily activity
    Protection of trial subjects
    Patients were randomised to either usual care or usual care with oseltamivir treatment. Oseltamivir has a well recorded safety profile with minimal side effects and at the start of the trial was classified by the WHO as an essential medicine that had been stockpiled in many countries to treat and prevent seasonal and pandemic influenza. The Primary Care Clinical Trials Unit (PC-CTU) at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences maintained a dedicated email, answer phone and fax line to allow reporting of all SAEs. Country Co-ordinators ensured the quick follow up of all SAEs within their country, and all SAEs were reported back to the PC-CTU for review by the sponsor and the IDMC. The trial symptom diary was completed between day 0-14 by the trial participants or their legal guardians. This was a fairly significant burden on the participant, but essential to the trial. We made the diary as streamline and easy to complete as possible and only participants that have the time and ability, or where the legal guardian had the time and ability, to complete the diary were asked to join the trial.
    Background therapy
    -
    Evidence for comparator
    General Practitioners in Europe usually advise patients who consult with ILI to take paracetamol or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents (NSAIDs), like ibuprofen, either when required or at regular intervals. They may also provide advice about over the counter remedies, maintaining fluids, bed rest and taking time off work. This broad approach is currently considered best practice for the empirical management of influenza like illness (ILI). ALIC4E included a ‘best usual primary care’ arm alone, and best usual primary care with oseltamivir treatment. This allowed the study to determine the added benefit of antiviral agents over and above current practice. This is necessary for answering the question about whether or not it is worth adding antiviral treatment to current practice in European primary care, which is important for informing: antiviral prescribing decisions, patients help seeking, self-care strategies and the provision and configuration of primary care services.
    Actual start date of recruitment
    15 Jan 2016
    Long term follow-up planned
    No
    Independent data monitoring committee (IDMC) involvement?
    Yes
    Population of trial subjects
    Number of subjects enrolled per country
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Netherlands: 63
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Norway: 55
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Poland: 632
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Spain: 508
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Sweden: 69
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    United Kingdom: 464
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Belgium: 609
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Czech Republic: 95
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Denmark: 68
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    France: 49
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Hungary: 216
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Ireland: 48
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Lithuania: 239
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Greece: 125
    Country: Number of subjects enrolled
    Switzerland: 26
    Worldwide total number of subjects
    3266
    EEA total number of subjects
    3240
    Number of subjects enrolled per age group
    In utero
    0
    Preterm newborn - gestational age < 37 wk
    0
    Newborns (0-27 days)
    0
    Infants and toddlers (28 days-23 months)
    45
    Children (2-11 years)
    409
    Adolescents (12-17 years)
    172
    Adults (18-64 years)
    2431
    From 65 to 84 years
    204
    85 years and over
    5

    Subject disposition

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    Recruitment
    Recruitment details
    21 networks covering 209 primary care practices in 15 European countries randomized 3266 participants over three consecutive influenza seasons: 495 in 2015-16, 1225 in 2016-17, and 1546 in 2017-18.

    Pre-assignment
    Screening details
    This was a pragmatic trial with opportunistic recruitment during periods of high influenza. There was no initial screening or pre-assignment period but the participant had to satisfy the eligibility criteria before entering the study. 5501 assessed for eligibility, 2235 excluded and 3266 randomised.

    Period 1
    Period 1 title
    overall trial (overall period)
    Is this the baseline period?
    Yes
    Allocation method
    Randomised - controlled
    Blinding used
    Not blinded

    Arms
    Are arms mutually exclusive
    Yes

    Arm title
    Usual Care
    Arm description
    Usual care given by practitioners for treatment of ILI
    Arm type
    No intervention

    Investigational medicinal product name
    No investigational medicinal product assigned in this arm
    Arm title
    Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Arm description
    This is usual care given by general practitioners plus treatment with oseltamivir
    Arm type
    Active comparator

    Investigational medicinal product name
    Oseltamivir
    Investigational medicinal product code
    EU/1/02/222/001
    Other name
    Tamiflu
    Pharmaceutical forms
    Capsule, Powder for oral suspension
    Routes of administration
    Oral use
    Dosage and administration details
    Adults and children weighing >40 kg who were randomized to intervention and able to swallow capsules were given 75 mg oral oseltamivir twice daily for five days. For those <13 years, oseltamivir was given in oral suspension, according to weight: 10-15 kg = 30 mg; >15-23 kg = 45 mg; >23-40 kg = 60 mg; >40 kg = 75 mg.

    Number of subjects in period 1
    Usual Care Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Started
    1637
    1629
    Completed
    1526
    1533
    Not completed
    111
    96
         Consent withdrawn by subject
    12
    18
         missing or conflicting data
    5
    -
         Lost to follow-up
    91
    72
         Protocol deviation
    3
    6

    Baseline characteristics

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    Baseline characteristics reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Usual Care
    Reporting group description
    Usual care given by practitioners for treatment of ILI

    Reporting group title
    Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Reporting group description
    This is usual care given by general practitioners plus treatment with oseltamivir

    Reporting group values
    Usual Care Usual care plus oseltmavir Total
    Number of subjects
    1637 1629 3266
    Age categorical
    Units: Subjects
        1 to 11 years
    223 225 448
        12 to 65 years
    1306 1296 2602
        over 65 years
    106 103 209
        Not recorded
    2 5 7
    Age continuous
    Units: years
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    35.4 ± 18.7 35.5 ± 18.7 -
    Gender categorical
    Units: Subjects
        Female
    904 915 1819
        Male
    731 707 1438
        Not recorded
    2 7 9
    Use of antipyretics in last 4 hours
    Units: Subjects
        Yes
    879 901 1780
        No
    756 717 1473
        Missing
    2 11 13
    Smoking
    Units: Subjects
        Yes
    257 240 497
        No
    1312 1303 2615
        Occasionally
    65 78 143
        Missing
    3 8 11
    Ethnicity
    Units: Subjects
        White
    1142 1146 2288
        Black
    6 4 10
        Hispanic
    70 75 145
        Asian
    17 14 31
        Arabic
    12 13 25
        Other
    31 48 79
        Missing
    359 329 688
    Flu vaccine within 6 months
    Units: Subjects
        No
    1477 1465 2942
        Yes
    156 151 307
        Missing
    4 13 17
    Co-morbidities
    Units: Subjects
        No
    1396 1373 2769
        Yes
    239 251 490
        Missing
    2 5 7
    Duration of symptoms
    Duration of ILI symptoms before baseline visit
    Units: Subjects
        0 - <=24 hours
    454 448 902
        > 24 - <=48 hours
    633 616 1249
        >48 - <=72 hours
    548 560 1108
        Missing
    2 5 7
    Severity of ILI symptoms
    Clinician global severity rating
    Units: Subjects
        Mild
    353 340 693
        Moderate
    985 983 1968
        Severe
    297 301 598
        Missing
    2 5 7
    Weight
    Units: Kg
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    68.1 ± 24.4 67.2 ± 24.3 -
    Height
    Units: cm
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    162.4 ± 22.7 162.1 ± 22.9 -
    Pulse rate
    Units: beats per minute
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    87.4 ± 15.1 87.7 ± 16.1 -
    Temperature
    Units: degrees celcius
        arithmetic mean (standard deviation)
    37.5 ± 0.9 37.6 ± 0.9 -

    End points

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    End points reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Usual Care
    Reporting group description
    Usual care given by practitioners for treatment of ILI

    Reporting group title
    Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Reporting group description
    This is usual care given by general practitioners plus treatment with oseltamivir

    Primary: Model-based estimated mean number of days to recovery

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    End point title
    Model-based estimated mean number of days to recovery
    End point description
    The precision/dispersion type is Bayesian Credible Interval (BCI)
    End point type
    Primary
    End point timeframe
    1 to 28 days
    End point values
    Usual Care Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Number of subjects analysed
    1526
    1533
    Units: days
        number (not applicable)
    6.73
    5.71
    Statistical analysis title
    Bayesian piece-wise exponential time-to-event
    Statistical analysis description
    The pre-specified primary analysis was based on a Bayesian piece-wise exponential time-to-event model. The model evaluated the benefit of oseltamivir in the overall intention-to-treat study population; the oseltamivir arm was declared superior if the Bayesian posterior probability that oseltamivir is better than usual care alone exceeded 0.975
    Comparison groups
    Usual Care v Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Number of subjects included in analysis
    3059
    Analysis specification
    Pre-specified
    Analysis type
    superiority
    Method
    Parameter type
    Hazard ratio (HR)
    Point estimate
    1.29
    Confidence interval
         level
    95%
         sides
    2-sided
         lower limit
    1.2
         upper limit
    1.39
    Variability estimate
    Standard error of the mean

    Adverse events

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    Adverse events information [1]
    Timeframe for reporting adverse events
    All Serious Adverse Events (SAEs) occurring during the 28 days participants were enrolled on the trial were recorded.
    Adverse event reporting additional description
    Oseltamivir has a well documented safety profile and is a commonly used medication in a primary care setting. As a result of this no non-serious adverse events were recorded in this study.
    Assessment type
    Systematic
    Dictionary used for adverse event reporting
    Dictionary name
    none used
    Dictionary version
    0
    Reporting groups
    Reporting group title
    Usual Care
    Reporting group description
    Usual care given by practitioners for treatment of ILI

    Reporting group title
    Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Reporting group description
    This is usual care given by general practitioners plus treatment with oseltamivir

    Notes
    [1] - There are no non-serious adverse events recorded for these results. It is expected that there will be at least one non-serious adverse event reported.
    Justification: Oseltamivir has a well documented safety profile and is a commonly used medication in a primary care setting. As a result of this no non-serious adverse events were recorded in this study.
    Serious adverse events
    Usual Care Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Total subjects affected by serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    17 / 1635 (1.04%)
    12 / 1624 (0.74%)
         number of deaths (all causes)
    0
    0
         number of deaths resulting from adverse events
    0
    0
    Injury, poisoning and procedural complications
    Overdose
    Additional description: paracetemol
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Surgical and medical procedures
    Amputation
    Additional description: Ischaemic left leg requiring amputation
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    1 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Lung operation
    Additional description: excision of lung carcinoma
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Blood and lymphatic system disorders
    Hypertension
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Immune system disorders
    Guillain-Barre syndrome
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Social circumstances
    Hospitalisation
    Additional description: planned visit
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Reproductive system and breast disorders
    Ovarian cyst
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Respiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders
    Asthma
         subjects affected / exposed
    2 / 1635 (0.12%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 2
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Chest pain
    Additional description: and shortness of breath
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Laryngospasm
    Additional description: causing difficulty breathing
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders
    Hypersensitivity vasculitis
    Additional description: Leukocytoclastic vasculitis
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Urticaria
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    1 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Musculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders
    Hip fracture
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Lower limb fracture
    Additional description: broken leg after slipping on ice
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Infections and infestations
    Otitis media
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Tonsillitis
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Influenza
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Meningitis
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    1 / 1624 (0.06%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 1
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Meningitis viral
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Peritonsillar abscess
         subjects affected / exposed
    1 / 1635 (0.06%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 1
    0 / 0
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Pneumonia
         subjects affected / exposed
    5 / 1635 (0.31%)
    3 / 1624 (0.18%)
         occurrences causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 5
    0 / 3
         deaths causally related to treatment / all
    0 / 0
    0 / 0
    Frequency threshold for reporting non-serious adverse events: 0%
    Non-serious adverse events
    Usual Care Usual care plus oseltmavir
    Total subjects affected by non serious adverse events
         subjects affected / exposed
    0 / 1635 (0.00%)
    0 / 1624 (0.00%)

    More information

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    Substantial protocol amendments (globally)

    Were there any global substantial amendments to the protocol? Yes
    Date
    Amendment
    24 Mar 2015
    Removal of Nitazoxanide
    26 May 2015
    Correction of Creatinine GFR unit in exclusion criteria, Clarification of SAE Reporting, Clarification of publication policy, Correction of country codes list
    29 Sep 2015
    Correction of weight categories for children’s medication
    16 Dec 2015
    Changes to statistical analysis, change to primary end point for non-verbal children, addition of bacterial analysis for swabs, determination start of the influenza period, addition of OOH recruiting sites
    01 Aug 2016
    Change to statistics section – moving detail to SAP, change to sample size to 2500-4000, clarification of SAE reporting, UK Study Within A Trial (SWAT)

    Interruptions (globally)

    Were there any global interruptions to the trial? No

    Limitations and caveats

    Limitations of the trial such as small numbers of subjects analysed or technical problems leading to unreliable data.
    None reported
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    The status and protocol content of GB trials is no longer updated since 1 January 2021. For the UK, as of 31 January 2021, EU Law applies only to the territory of Northern Ireland (NI) to the extent foreseen in the Protocol on Ireland/NI. Legal notice
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